Prediction Market Intelligence

We knew the US would strike Iran hours before it happened.

You could have known it too.

$ signal detected — prob_yes: 7% → 34% in 15 min  |  score: 78/100

NONPUBLIC monitors every trade on Polymarket and Kalshi in real-time. When someone bets big, fast, and in silence — our algorithm detects it before the news breaks.

NP
NONPUBLIC
2 min ago
⚠ TIER 1 UNCONFIRMED
Will the US conduct a military strike on Iran before June 2026?
Movement 7% → 34% in 15 min
Volume $284,000 / 24h (6.2× baseline)
Flow 91% aggressive YES-side
Wallets 14 tracked in window

Conviction Score
78/100
No public news explains this movement.
0%
Signal accuracy
on confirmed events
Average lead time
before news breaks
0
Markets monitored
in real-time
0%
Signals clear all
noise filters
0
False alarms
this week
Insider trading really sucks, if you are on the outside — come inside.
01

Ingest Every Trade

We stream every trade on Polymarket and Kalshi via websocket. Every 5 minutes, we snapshot probability, volume, and liquidity across 2,000+ markets.

02

Score for Conviction

A 5-layer algorithm scores each market for volume anomaly, probability velocity, directional flow, wallet behavior, and proximity to resolution. Multipliers amplify low-liquidity and off-hours activity.

03

Filter the Noise

Every signal above threshold is cross-referenced against live news. If a headline explains the move, it's discarded. If nothing does — that's the signal.

Detection Algorithm — Running Live
 
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